Navigating Interest Rate Fluctuations: Five Strategies for Merchants

impact of interest rate fluctuations

By: Beth Dugan
Posted: June 2, 2025


Navigating fluctuating interest rates is crucial for merchants and small franchises aiming to protect and grow their businesses in a dynamic economic environment. 

Whether you're in retail, hospitality, or any other industry, understanding how moving interest rates impact your operations, both positively and negatively, is essential. 

Interest rates, set by central banks like the Federal Reserve in the United States, play a pivotal role in the economy. They influence everything from mortgage rates to credit card interest, affecting both businesses and consumers. 

For merchants, the ripple effects can be profound. Higher interest rates can lead to increased costs for borrowing, affecting your cash flow and expansion plans. On the other hand, lower interest rates might boost consumer spending, giving you more opportunities to grow.

When interest rates rise, consumers might tighten their belts due to higher mortgage rates and credit card costs, leading to decreased consumer spending. For merchants, this scenario demands a strategic response to maintain profitability and adapt to shifting consumer behavior.  

Let's first dive into effective strategies that can help you anticipate and adapt to these changes. Following this, we will explore the effects of interest rates on your business in detail.

Tips and Guidance for Merchants

Interest rates can be likened to the heartbeat of the economy, influencing everything from consumer confidence to business investment. For merchants, adapting to these fluctuations is paramount. 

Here are strategies and insights to consider:

1. Diversify Revenue Streams

To minimize risk, explore new markets or product lines. Relying on a single source of income can be risky, especially when interest rates are unpredictable. Consider:

  • Conducting market research: Identify potential new markets or products.
  • Testing new products: Launch a pilot project to gauge interest.
  • Building partnerships: Collaborate with other businesses to expand offerings.

2. Invest in Training

Internet rate fluctuations are beyond the control of any one business, but investing inward, in your employees, is always wise. 

If you equip your team with skills that enhance efficiency and innovation they will be more adaptable to changes, and ready to handle whatever the market throws at you. Steps to consider:

  • Identify skill gaps: Assess where your team needs improvement. Implement evaluations specifically designed to gauge key skills crucial for industry success, such as effective communication and advanced sales techniques.
  • Plan training sessions: Use feedback from customers to identify recurring issues related to employee performance. Organize workshops or online courses to address these gaps in training and assist employees at gaining new skills.  
  • Encourage continuous learning: Foster a culture of ongoing education and innovation. When employees in industries like healthcare, beauty, and fitness earn their required CE (continuing education) credits, reward publicly. Investigate free or inexpensive webinars for your industry or adjacent industries. 

3. Monitor Economic Indicators

Keep an eye on economic indicators like inflation, employment rates, and consumer confidence. These can help you predict changes in interest rates:

  • Set up alerts: Use financial news apps to stay updated.
  • Analyze trends: Regularly review reports from trusted financial analysts.
  • Consult experts: Occasionally seek insights from economic advisors. Your bank or investment institution may have free webinars or educational services to help you. 

4. Stay Agile

Develop a flexible business model that can swiftly adapt to interest rate changes. This could involve scaling operations or pivoting to new opportunities:

  • Design contingency plans: Prepare for different economic scenarios.
  • Implement flexible operations: Use scalable systems and processes.
  • Be open to change: Regularly review and adjust your business strategies. 

5. Tend to Your Relationships

Nurturing your varied relationships with suppliers, lenders, and customers can be a game-changer, offering financial flexibility and fostering trust. 

While such relationships generally provide stability and advantageous terms, some businesses might prioritize flexibility over deep ties, choosing partners based on the best deals available. 

Supplier relationships

During periods of high interest rates, having solid relationships with suppliers can be particularly advantageous. These relationships might allow you to negotiate more favorable terms, such as extended payment periods. 

This flexibility can ease cash flow constraints, giving you more time to pay for goods without straining your resources. Additionally, suppliers may offer discounts for bulk purchases, which can help offset increased costs due to higher rates.

Lender relationships

Similarly, cultivating positive relationships with lenders can open doors to more favorable financing conditions. A strong rapport with your bank or financial institution could result in lower interest rates on loans or easier access to credit lines. 

This is especially beneficial during high-rate environments, where borrowing costs are generally elevated. 

Access to favorable terms can be a lifeline, providing the capital needed to maintain or expand operations. Schedule regular meetings or calls with lenders to discuss terms and conditions.

Customer relationships

On the customer front, transparency is key in building trust and loyalty. When interest rates cause price fluctuations or impact product availability, clear communication with your customers can make all the difference. 

Keeping your customers informed about changes helps them feel valued and respected, especially during uncertain times. This transparency can lead to increased customer loyalty and repeat business. 

Use newsletters, emails, or social media to keep customers updated on any changes in pricing or availability. Reward repeat customers to strengthen your relationship and encourage continued business.

Different perspectives

While most businesses benefit from strong relationships, some might prioritize flexibility and independence over deep ties. 

For instance, a business with diverse suppliers might prefer to switch partners based on who offers the best deal, rather than relying heavily on existing relationships. Similarly, some companies might opt for online lenders who can offer competitive rates without the traditional relationship-building process.

Interest Rate Fluctuations: Market Trends

Now that we’ve evaluated some strategies for staying in front of interest rate fluctuations, let’s look at some of the market trends to which you may have to adapt to ensure business success. 

By aligning with consumer behavior and implementing smart financial planning, merchants can maintain stability and even growth in times of interest rate volatility.

Consumer behavior

Understanding consumer behavior is key to thriving in any interest rate environment. When rates are high, consumers tend to cut back on discretionary spending. Merchants can respond by focusing on value-add services and products that offer greater perceived value for money. 

Loyalty programs, personalized marketing, and bundling of products can enhance customer retention and increase sales even when spending power is reduced.

Conversely, when rates are low, consumers might be more willing to spend on luxury items or larger purchases. Merchants can capitalize on this by promoting high-ticket items or offering financing options that make these purchases more accessible.

Financial planning and risk management

Effective financial planning is the backbone of any successful business strategy in fluctuating interest rate climates. Merchants should regularly review their financial health, assessing cash flow, debt levels, and investment opportunities. 

This involves developing a robust risk management plan that anticipates potential economic downturns and sets aside reserves to cushion against financial strain.

For example, setting up a contingency fund can provide a buffer during periods of high interest rates, ensuring the business can continue to operate even if revenues decrease. 

Additionally, merchants should consider hedging against interest rate risks by using financial instruments like interest rate swaps, which can provide stability in borrowing costs.

Building and maintaining strong relationships with suppliers, lenders, and customers is crucial for merchants, regardless of whether interest rates are climbing or dropping. These connections serve as a foundation that can support your business through economic fluctuations.

The Impact of Rising Interest Rates on Merchants

Having looked at actionable strategies for helping your business navigate interest rate fluctuations, as well as some potential market trends, let’s turn our focus to some of the possible effects of rising rates on your business.

Increased operating costs

Higher interest rates can lead to increased operating costs. As borrowing becomes more expensive, managing your supply chain and inventory might become a balancing act. 

For instance, in the retail industry, adjusting pricing strategies becomes crucial to offset the increased costs without alienating customers. Merchants must find ways to optimize inventory management and pricing adjustments to maintain profitability.

The retail industry, in particular, can see a direct impact on how they manage inventory. When borrowing costs rise, the ability to purchase large amounts of stock on credit becomes less feasible. Retailers may need to adopt more just-in-time inventory practices, reducing the amount of stock on hand to minimize storage costs and interest payments on loans. 

This requires precise demand forecasting and efficient supplier relationships to ensure product availability without overstocking.

Financial pressure on small and medium businesses

Rising interest rates can exert financial pressure, especially on small and medium businesses. Maintaining cash flow and accessing credit lines become more challenging. For small franchise operations, this financial stress can be daunting. 

It's essential to develop coping strategies, like exploring alternative financing options or reducing operational costs, to weather these changes effectively.

Small franchises often operate on thinner margins and have less financial cushioning compared to larger enterprises. In times of higher interest rates, these businesses may face difficulties in securing affordable loans, which are often crucial for day-to-day operations and growth initiatives. 

Franchise owners may have the opportunity to seek out lower-cost credit options, such as local government grants or community-based lending programs, to stay afloat during economic tightening.

Cost of credit

Higher rates limit expansion and investment opportunities. For sectors like the restaurant industry, balancing remodeling costs and brand growth becomes a significant challenge. 

Evaluating the cost-effectiveness of investments and seeking creative financing solutions are crucial steps to navigate these limitations.

Restaurants, for example, often rely on loans to refurbish premises, purchase new equipment, or expand to new locations. When interest rates climb, the cost of these loans increases, potentially stalling growth plans. 

Restaurateurs could consider phased renovations, prioritizing essential upgrades over aesthetic improvements, and explore partnerships with local artisans or suppliers to share costs and benefits.

Labor market adjustments

Rising interest rates may also lead to increased unemployment and recruitment challenges. In the hospitality and service industries, managing labor shortages becomes a priority. Adapting recruitment strategies and investing in employee retention can help mitigate these challenges.

The hospitality sector, heavily dependent on a large workforce, can find itself in a bind as interest rates rise. Higher rates might lead to reduced consumer spending on leisure, causing a dip in revenue and subsequent workforce reductions. 

To combat this, businesses can focus on cross-training employees to handle multiple roles, thereby maintaining service levels with a leaner team and fostering a resilient workforce prepared for economic fluctuations.

The Impact of Lowering Interest Rates on Merchant

Now let’s take a look at the potential effects on your business when interest rates move lower.

Reduced cost of borrowing

The flip side of the coin is the opportunities presented by lower interest rates. With borrowing costs reduced, merchants can consider expansion and investment initiatives. Consumer credit becomes more accessible, encouraging spending on larger purchases. Enterprise-level businesses can leverage these lower costs for large-scale projects and expansion initiatives.

Lower interest rates create a fertile ground for bold moves. Enterprises can take advantage of cheaper loans to fund research and development, expand into new markets, or acquire competitors. 

For instance, tech companies might invest in cutting-edge technologies or startups, betting on high returns as the economy grows. This expansion not only enhances their market position but also stimulates job creation and innovation.

Supply chain and inventory opportunities

Lower interest rates decrease the cost of purchasing and managing inventory and materials. For contractors and service industries, this translates to improved ability to procure materials and manage project costs effectively. 

It’s a chance to streamline operations and enhance profitability.

Contractors, often at the mercy of fluctuating material costs, can use periods of lower rates to lock in favorable terms with suppliers. By negotiating long-term contracts or bulk purchasing agreements, they can hedge against future price increases and ensure a stable supply chain. 

This proactive approach not only enhances profitability but also strengthens supplier relationships.

Enhancing cash flow and liquidity

In a low-interest-rate environment, businesses have the opportunity to reinvest in growth initiatives. For industries like beauty and fitness, this might mean upgrading equipment, expanding service offerings, or enhancing customer experience to attract new clientele.

Improved cash flow also allows businesses to build liquidity reserves, providing a buffer against future economic uncertainties. This financial flexibility enables businesses to respond quickly to market changes, seize new opportunities, and mitigate risks associated with economic downturns.

Labor market dynamics

Rate cuts often lead to a more robust job market. Enterprise-level businesses can expand their workforce to support growth, capitalizing on the favorable economic climate. Ensuring that you’re positioned to attract and retain top talent will be key during such periods. 

Competitive salaries, benefits packages, and a positive workplace culture can help secure the best employees.

Leveraging technology and innovation

In both high and low interest rate environments, technology can play a crucial role in managing operations efficiently. For instance, implementing advanced inventory management systems can provide real-time data on stock levels, helping retailers make informed decisions about purchasing and pricing. 

These systems can reduce waste and improve turnover, crucial in managing costs when interest rates are high.

Moreover, digital transformation can open new revenue streams. For example, businesses can explore e-commerce platforms or digital marketing strategies to reach broader audiences, reducing dependence on traditional sales channels affected by interest rate shifts.

Conclusion

Fluctuating interest rates are an inherent aspect of economic cycles, influencing a wide range of business activities. While these fluctuations can pose challenges for merchants, they also offer opportunities for those who are prepared. 

By gaining a deep understanding of interest rate dynamics and implementing thoughtful, strategic measures, merchants can effectively manage risks and position their businesses for sustainable growth.

Sources

North is a leading financial technology company that builds innovative, frictionless end-to-end payment solutions designed to simplify and grow businesses of all sizes. From the front door, to the back office, the developer world, and partnerships that expand the payments landscape, North offers proactive, comprehensive merchant services, in-house processing, and more.